2025 French Open picks, odds for May 30: Expert reveals free Friday tennis bets, Roland Garros predictions

2025 French Open picks, odds for May 30: Expert reveals free Friday tennis bets, Roland Garros predictions

Content on this page may include affiliate links. If you click and sign up/place a wager, we may receive compensation at no cost to you.

SportsLine tennis expert Blake Von Hagen reveals his 2025 French Open picks for Friday’s third-round matches, including Tommy Paul, Matteo Gigante, and Sebastian Korda

Imagn Images

Defending champion Carlos Alcaraz will play in the Roland Garros night session during the 2025 French Open on Friday, as the men’s draw enters the third round. Alcaraz has won 17 of his last 18 matches this season and has only dropped one set through his first two rounds of this event. He is a -10000 favorite to beat Damir Dzumhur on Friday and is -460 (risk $460 to win $100) to win in straight sets. Given those heavy odds, bettors could try targeting 2025 French Open prop bets in that match instead. New users can also use a Caesars Sportsbook promo code to boost their French Open bets.

There are eight men’s matches on the Friday French Open schedule, including an all-American showdown between Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda. Americans Tommy Paul and Ben Shelton are also looking to advance to the fourth round. In fact, our expert loves Korda under 12.5 aces. With French Open odds available for every match at sportsbooks, SportsLine tennis expert Blake Von Hagen can help you find value to add to your tennis picks. His picks can also help new users take advantage of sportsbook promos like the latest BetMGM promo code and bet365 bonus code.

Von Hagen went 20-9 (+11.4u) in the 2024 Rome Masters 1000, nailing three first-round upsets and returning more than $1,100 for $100 bettors in that tournament. Recently, Von Hagen went 3-0 in his SportsLine best bets for the men’s and women’s finals in the 2025 Miami Open. Now, he has revealed his picks for some of the French Open matches on Friday. These three picks can be parlayed for +565 odds and would win over $500 on a $100 bet.  

Best Friday French Open picks:

  • Tommy Paul Under 6.5 aces (-110)
  • Matteo Gigante Under 5.5 aces (-106)
  • Sebastian Korda Under 12.5 aces (-126)
  • Parlay these picks for +565 odds (odds subject to change)

Tommy Paul Under 6.5 aces (-110)

Paul is dealing with an injury heading into the third round, so there is a chance he is unable to complete this match. He went five sets with Marton Fucsovics in the second round, but he only had six aces despite going the distance. Paul had five aces in his four-set win over Elmer Moller in the opening round, and he had one total ace in his previous three matches in Rome leading up to this tournament. The American is averaging 3.9 aces per match on clay over the last 52 weeks, but that average dips to 2.4 against top-50 players. His opponent on Friday, Karen Khachanov, is a top-20 returner on clay. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering this prop, and you can also use a FanDuel promo code to maximize your winnings. 

Matteo Gigante Under 5.5 aces (-106) 

Gigante had nine aces in his massive upset win over Stefanos Tsitsipas on Wednesday after finishing with five in his first-round win over Benjamin Hassan. This prop has more to do with his opponent, Ben Shelton, though. Shelton allowed just three aces in five sets against Lorenzo Sonego in the first round after shutting out Jaume Munar in Rome earlier this month. He allowed five aces to Jakub Mensik in Madrid in his previous match, but Mensik ranks fourth on the ATP Tour in aces per match. Shelton is excellent at getting a racket on the ball, and Gigante is going to have trouble replicating his second-round serving performance. 

Sebastian Korda Under 12.5 aces (-126)

This is a high total due to Frances Tiafoe being one of the most-aced players in the sport, but it is still a touch too high given the slow conditions and high humidity in Paris. Korda had seven aces in the opening round and three aces in the second round. He ranks outside the top 35 on the ATP Tour in aces per match (7.1), and he averaged fewer than seven aces in three French Open matches last year. Korda had eight aces in three long sets in his lone head-to-head clay-court meeting with Tiafoe, which came in 2022. FanDuel is offering all three of these ace props. 

Our Latest Tennis Stories

default-cbs-image