Arsenal vs. Leicester City prediction, odds: Expert reveals English Premier League picks for March 13, 2022

Arsenal will try to secure its position in the race for a Champions League spot on Sunday when it hosts Leicester City in an English Premier League match in London. The Gunners (15-3-7) finished eighth in the Premier League last season but could finish as high as third if they keep rolling. They entered this weekend in fourth place with 48 points, one ahead of Manchester United and eight behind Chelsea. Arsenal has three games in hand on Man U and two on the Blues, and it has not lost a league game since New Year’s Day. Leicester (9-6-10) is in the 12th spot in the EPL table, but it has lost just one of its last seven games across all competitions.

Kickoff is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET at Emirates Stadium. Caesars Sportsbook lists Arsenal as the -205 favorite (risk $205 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Arsenal vs. Leicester City odds, with Leicester the +550 underdog. A draw is priced at +340 and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Leicester City vs. Arsenal picks or English Premier League predictions, you need to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Arsenal vs. Leicester City from every angle and just locked in his coveted picks and Premier League predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Leicester City vs. Arsenal:

• Arsenal vs. Leicester spread: Arsenal -1.5 (+140)
• Arsenal vs. Leicester over-under: 2.5 goals
• Arsenal vs. Leicester money line: Arsenal -205, Leicester +550, Draw +340
• ARS: Aaron Ramsdale is third in the EPL in save percentage (79.5)
• LEI: Kasper Schmeichel is fourth in the league in saves with 85

Why you should back Arsenal

The Gunners’ only loss in league play since Dec. 6 was a 2-1 setback to league leader Manchester City, and it has been dominant on its home turf. They are plus-12 in goal differential at the Emirates, scoring 22 goals while allowing just 10 in 13 games (9-2-2). Its 29 home points are third-most in the EPL. Arsenal’s 384 shots are fourth-most in the league, 83 more than the Foxes, and it is one of five teams with a double-digit goal differential (41 goals, 29 conceded). 

Top scorer Emile Smith Rowe (nine goals) is expected to return from a bout with COVID and will join Bukayo Saka (eight) in the attack. Alexandre Lacazette has gone six games without a goal, but he has three, along with seven assists. Gabriel Martinelli and Martin Odegaard both scored their fifth goals of the season and Saka also had one in a 3-2 win against Watford last Sunday. 

Why you should back Leicester City

The Foxes have struggled a bit without top scorer Jamie Vardy (10 goals) and he will miss Sunday’s showdown, but they have not allowed a goal in their last three games. That includes 2-0 wins against Burnley in league play and France’s Rennes in the UEFA Conference League, as well as a 1-0 victory against Leeds. James Maddison (seven goals), Youri Tielemans (six goals) and Harvey Barnes (five assists) are among the dangerous players in a Leicester attack that has put up 40 goals. 

Leicester doesn’t have nearly as many shots as the Gunners, but it is much better at making the opposing goalkeeper make plays. It has just 11 fewer attempts on net than Arsenal, and it is second in the league in putting almost 37 percent on target. Kelechi Iheanacho scored the insurance goal against Rennes on Thursday, and he has two goals and five assists in league play. 

How to make Leicester City vs. Arsenal picks

Green has analyzed the Arsenal vs. Leicester City match from all sides, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides his two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert EPL picks at SportsLine.

Who wins Arsenal vs. Leicester City? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Leicester City vs. Arsenal match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated well over $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.