Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest prediction, odds: English Premier League picks, best bets for Oct. 10, 2022

It’s another Monday matchup of struggling teams in the English Premier League when Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa at City Ground. Forest (1-1-6) have lost five straight games and could be headed right back down to the Championship if they don’t turn things around quickly. They were already last in the Premier League table heading into last Monday’s matchup with 19th-place rival Leicester City, then they were embarrassed 4-0. Villa (2-2-4) entered the week in 14th place, but they appear to be turning a corner. The Villans are unbeaten in their past three (1-2-0), though a listless 0-0 draw against Leeds last Sunday sapped some of their optimism.

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Aston Villa as +113 favorites (risk $100 to win $113) in the latest Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa odds. Nottingham Forest are the +250 underdogs, a draw is priced at +235 and the over/under for total goals is 2.5. Before making any Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa picks, be sure to see the EPL predictions from SportsLine’s Martin Green. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has hit seven of his past 10 EPL picks. He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest from every angle. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa:

• Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa spread: Villas -0.5 (+110)
• Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa over/under: 2.5 goals
• Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa money line: Forest +250, Villa +113, Draw +235
• NF: Taiwo Awoniyi had 20 goals over the past two seasons at Union Berlin
• AVL: Danny Ings has 42 league goals since the start of the 2019-20 season
• Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Aston Villa

The Villans have a lot of talent up top to exploit a Forest defense that has yielded 21 goals, second-most in the league. Their attack hasn’t clicked yet, but Villa have plenty of firepower. Ollie Watkins scored 11 goals last season, while Danny Ings scored seven and had six assists. Emiliano Buendia (four goals, six assists) and Philippe Coutinho (five, three) also can cause a lot of trouble. The teams have met 10 times previously in the Premier League and Villa are 5-4-1.

While Villa haven’t been scoring goals, they have been much stronger than Forest on the back line. They have conceded 10 in their eight matches, and they allow fewer than 12 shots per game while the Tricky Trees are yielding almost 17. Four of Forest’s six goals have come in 3-2 losses, so if they come out with an attacking style, Villa will get plenty of chances. Forest have conceded 18 of the 21 goals during the current losing streak as they have chased more scoring. 

Why you should back Nottingham Forest

The Tricky Trees signed a bevy of talented players this summer, but manager Steve Cooper has needed time to find the right fits and tactics. He just signed a new contract, and the team is sure to start showing some urgency to get out of the relegation zone. Five of its six goals have come at home, four over the past two games at City Ground. Taiwo Awoniyi (two goals), Brennan Johnson (two), Emmanuel Dennis and Jesse Lingard all are capable of moments of brilliance.

Cooper could go back to a more conservative approach against a Villa team that has also struggled to score, letting the offense come on counter-attacks. Forest allowed 40 goals in 46 matches, second-fewest in the Championship last season, and key defenders Joe Worrall, Scott McKenna and Steve Cook remain. All three have three yellow cards already, and the Tricky Trees lead the EPL in bookings. That physical style in the back could frustrate the Villans.  

How to make Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa picks

Green has taken an in-depth look at the Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides his three confident best bets, two of them offering plus money, and has his full breakdown. He’s only sharing those picks here.

So, who wins Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons.