Braves vs. Giants odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, June 23 best bets from proven model

Top-flight National League teams face off on Thursday at Truist Park. The San Francisco Giants visit the Atlanta Braves in the finale of a four-game set. Atlanta leads the series by a 2-1 margin after a comeback win on Wednesday. The Braves are 40-30 this season, and the Giants are 38-30 with a 19-16 mark on the road.

First pitch is at 12:20 p.m. ET in Atlanta. Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as a -170 favorite (risk $170 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is 9.5 in the latest Giants vs. Braves odds. Before making any Braves vs. Giants picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a strong start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 56-47 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 11 weeks. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Giants vs. Braves, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Braves vs. Giants:

• Braves vs. Giants money line: Braves -170, Giants +150
• Braves vs. Giants over-under: 9.5 runs
• Braves vs. Giants run line: Braves -1.5 (+120)
  
  
• Braves vs. Giants tickets: See tickets at StubHub
• SF: The Giants are 18-15 in day games
• ATL: The Braves are 11-15 in day games

Why you should back the Giants

The Giants have strengths in run production and run prevention. San Francisco owns the No. 2 walk rate in the National League, earning a walk on 9.8 percent of plate appearances. The Giants are also in the top five of the NL with a .322 on-base percentage, and former Braves outfielder Joc Pederson is red-hot for San Francisco. Pederson hit a home run against his former team on Tuesday, and he has 15 home runs and a .555 slugging percentage in 2022. 

Another former Brave, starting pitcher Alex Wood, is on the hill for the Giants, as he brings 4.32 ERA to the table with left-handed hitters posting only a .486 OPS against him. Wood has a career 3.89 ERA against Atlanta, and the Braves have the most strikeouts in the National League with a bottom-three walk rate of 7.9 percent.

Why you should back the Braves

The Braves are mashing the ball in 2022. Atlanta leads the National League with 106 home runs, and the Braves also lead the NL with 132 doubles. The Braves have the league’s best slugging percentage (.442), with above-average marks in runs scored, batting average, and myriad additional offensive categories. Atlanta is also playing at home and able to lean on a quality pitching staff. Starting pitcher Kyle Wright has a 2.94 ERA with 9.9 strikeouts and 2.9 walks per nine innings in 2022. 

Opponents have a .582 OPS against Wright, and he sports a 2.84 ERA in home games. Wright yields only 0.5 home runs per nine innings this season, and he’ll hand the ball to an Atlanta bullpen that is elite. The Braves lead the National League in wins above replacement, ERA (3.06) and strikeout rate (10.42 per innings).

How to make Giants vs. Braves picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 9.3 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Braves vs. Giants? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.