Cowboys vs. Eagles player props, odds, Monday Night Football picks: Dak Prescott over 294.5 passing yards

Written by on September 27, 2021

The Cowboys boast a top-10 rushing offense ahead of Monday Night Football against the Eagles, but most of those yards have come from someone not named Ezekiel Elliott. His backup, Tony Pollard, leads Dallas with 123 rushing yards and is commanding plenty of attention for NFL prop picks. Pollard has also been a factor in the passing game, as he’s leading Elliott in receiving yards as well. His over-under for rushing plus receiving yards is 45.5 at Caesars Sportsbook in the latest NFL player props.

Which NFL props are worth jumping on for the first 2021 meeting of this fierce divisional rivalry? Dak Prescott missed both games against Philly last year, but his total passing yards over-under of 294.5 is sure to draw plenty of attention. Likewise, Jalen Hurts‘ total passing touchdowns (1.5) could go either way since he’s averaging exactly 1.5 so far. Before submitting any NFL prop bets for Eagles vs. Cowboys, you need to see the Cowboys vs. Eagles prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on an incredible 122-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

It can also be used to crush prop picks. Last season, the player over-under prop picks went 389-310, returning over $3,000.

With Cowboys vs. Eagles taking place on Monday, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Eagles vs. Cowboys

After simulating Cowboys vs. Eagles 10,000 times, the model predicts that Prescott will easily surpass 294.5 passing yards and finish with 318. Prescott is averaging 320 passing yards through the first two weeks and has averaged 305.7 yards over his last three games against the Eagles.

Prescott had just 237 yards in Week 2, but that had more to the Cowboys shifting to a run-heavy offensive game plan against the Chargers‘ porous defense. L.A. ranks 30th in rushing defense, and the Cowboys ran for nearly 200 yards against them. But the Eagles rank 18th, which should bring a more balanced offensive attack for Dallas, and that means more pass attempts for Prescott.

Safety Rodney McLeod hasn’t suited up for Philadelphia this year and Pro Bowl defensive end Brandon Graham was just lost for the season. Prescott should pick apart a depleted Eagles defense just as he’s done to pretty much everyone he’s faced since the start of 2020. Over his last seven games, Prescott has averaged over 356 passing yards per game as the Cowboys have shifted from one based around Elliott to one centered on Prescott’s arm.

SportsLine’s NFL model also has Elliott going under his total rushing yards of 67.5. The model sees Elliott gaining just 60 yards on the ground on only 3.7 per carry.

Elliott has performed to the level of his competition, as he had just 33 rushing yards against the Buccaneers‘ No. 2 rushing defense in Week 1. He bounced back last week with 71 yards against the Chargers, who rank 30th in run defense. The Eagles are middle-of-the-pack at 18th, but the emergence of Pollard has the model less than bullish on Elliott having a big day.

After Elliott received three times as many carries as Pollard over the last two seasons, he’s not even getting twice as many this year (27 to 16). The split evening out and the offense shifting more to the passing game mean Elliott will fall short of 67.5 yards. That’s exactly what’s happened in two of the last three times Elliott has faced the Eagles, as he failed to rush for more than 63 yards in either game.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Eagles vs. Cowboys

In addition, the model says another player falls short of his modest yardage total. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Cowboys vs. Eagles prop bets for Monday.

Which Eagles vs. Cowboys prop bets should you back on Monday Night Football? And which player falls short of his yardage total? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Cowboys vs. Eagles prop bets for Monday, all from the model that’s up almost $7,800 on top-rated NFL picks.

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