English Premier League odds, September 12 picks: Expert reveals best bets for Liverpool vs. Leeds

Liverpool will try to remain unbeaten to start the season when it visits Elland Road on Sunday to face Leeds United in an English Premier League match. The Reds have designs on tying Manchester United’s record 20 league titles this year after an injury-plagued season. They followed up their 2019-20 championship with a third-place finish last year. Liverpool is now healthy and is 2-1-0 after a gritty 1-1 draw with fellow title hopeful Chelsea before the international break. Leeds is off to a slow start at 0-2-1 but had a promising 2020-21 season, its first in the top flight after 16 years in the EFL Championship. 

Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET in Leeds, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Liverpool as the -145 favorite (risk $145 to win $100) in its latest Leeds vs. Liverpool odds, with Leeds the +360 underdog and a draw priced at +310. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 3.5. Before making any Liverpool vs. Leeds picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken a close look at the Liverpool vs. Leeds matchup and revealed his Premier League expert picks. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the EPL odds and betting trends for Leeds vs. Liverpool: 

• Leeds vs. Liverpool spread: Liverpool -0.5 (-145)
• Leeds vs. Liverpool over-under: 3.5 goals
• Leeds vs. Liverpool money line: Leeds +360, Liverpool -145, Draw +310
• Leeds: The Whites are 3-4-0 in their last seven league games at home.
• Liverpool: The Reds are 5-3-1 in their past nine road games vs. Leeds. 

Featured Game | Leeds United vs. Liverpool

Why you should back Liverpool

The Reds have yielded just the one goal to Chelsea in the first three games and have allowed nine shots on target, third-fewest in the league. They have fired off 70 shots in the first three matches and should get plenty of opportunities against the attacking Whites. Liverpool is unbeaten in its last 10 matches with Leeds in all competitions and has scored in 15 straight league meetings. Liverpool won 4-3 at Anfield last season and played to a 1-1 draw at Leeds.   

The Whites will have a tough time scoring against the Reds, who are pleased that Brazilian goalkeeper Alisson was cleared to play despite an international dispute. He had 10 clean sheets last season and is protected by a stout defense anchored in the middle by Virgil Van Dijk and Joel Matip. Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Diogo Jota are dangerous up front, with Salah and Jota each scoring twice this season. Salah was third in the EPL with 18 goals last season.

Why you should back Leeds

Leeds fought hard in both matchups last season and took at least a point from 13 of 19 home matches (8-5-6). The Whites typically are dangerous in attack and score a lot of goals. They had a plus-8 differential last season on the strength of 62 goals, but that can make them vulnerable on counter-attack. They were fourth in both possession and shots on target last season and are third in possession (62 percent), ahead of No. 4 Liverpool (60.7) this campaign.

The Whites are off to a slow start but were impressive in their return to the top flight last season, finishing in ninth place. They were two points behind Arsenal and three points behind Tottenham in the table. They also could catch the Reds looking ahead, as they kick off Champions League play next week and start League Cup action Sept. 21. Patrick Bamford had 17 goals in 2020-21, tied for fourth in the league, and is one of four players to score and has an assist this year.   

How to make Leeds vs. Liverpool picks

Green has taken a close look at the matchup from all sides, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He’s also locked in three best bets, including a strong play on one side. He’s only sharing his expert EPL picks and analysis at SportsLine.

So what are the best bets for Liverpool vs. Leeds? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.

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