NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 17, 2023: Model backs Seahawks, Bears
Written by CBS SPORTS ALL RIGHTS RESERVED on December 30, 2023
The Buccaneers (8-7) currently sit atop the NFC South standings with two games to play and could clinch the division with a victory and a little bit of help. They’ll host the Saints (7-8) in a 1 p.m. ET kickoff on Sunday, while the Falcons (7-8) will travel to Chicago to take on the Bears (6-9) in another 1 p.m. ET start. So with a win over New Orleans and Chicago holding serve against Atlanta, Tampa Bay would be able to wrap up what has been a compelling race in a mediocre division.
The Buccaneers are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Week 17 NFL odds via the SportsLine consensus while the Bears are favored by 2.5 in their matchup. So how should you be playing those matchups, and what other Week 17 NFL spreads should you be targeting as you lay out your Week 17 NFL bets? All of the Week 17 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 17 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 17 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 17 NFL predictions
We can tell you one of the model’s Week 17 NFL picks is that the Bears (-2.5) cover against the Falcons in a 1 p.m. ET kickoff Sunday at Soldier Field. Chicago has won four straight at home, while Atlanta has won just two of its last seven on the road. Chicago has also won and covered in its last three overall. Atlanta bounced back for a win over the Colts last week, but had previously lost two straight.
SportsLine’s model isn’t high on Atlanta quarterback Taylor Heinicke in this one, projecting that he falls short of 200 passing yards. Atlanta’s offense fails to reach 20 points in the simulations, opening the door for Chicago to win straight up 61% of the time and cover in nearly 60% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
Another one of its Week 17 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (-4) cover the spread at home versus the Steelers in a 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday kickoff. Pittsburgh’s passing offense doesn’t seem to travel, no matter who is under center, as the team has just three passing TDs all season on the road. That’s not a recipe for success in a hostile environment, and the Seahawks passing defense clearly feeds off the home crowd. Opposing QBs are completing just 60.1% of their passes when facing the Seahawks in Seattle, compared to a 71.9% CMP% when the Seahawks are on the road.
Forcing Pittsburgh to be one-dimensional will put lots of pressure on a Steelers rushing attack which has underwhelmed. Najee Harris is averaging under 4.0 yards per carry, while Jaylen Warren hasn’t scored in five straight games. Add in that the Seahawks have won five straight home games versus the Steelers, and that Seattle is undefeated ATS in its last four games of 2023, and you can see why the model favors the Seahawks. Seattle is projected to cover as 4-point home favorites in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Week 17 NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 17 NFL schedule and just revealed three teams that outright win well over 70% of the time. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which three teams should you lock in now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Week 17 NFL odds, lines, spreads
Get full NFL picks at SportsLine
Saturday, Dec. 30
Sunday, Dec. 31
Panthers at Jaguars (-6, 36.5)
Saints at Buccaneers (-2.5, 42.5)
49ers at Commanders (+13.5, 49.5)
Steelers at Seahawks (-4, 41)
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