UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till predictions, odds, picks: Best bets on the fight card from MMA expert

Written by on September 4, 2021

Veteran contender Derek Brunson continues his push towards his first title shot on Saturday when he faces Darren Till in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till. The clash of ranked middleweights anchors the MMA showcase from the Apex facility in Las Vegas, with the main UFC fight card set for 4 p.m. ET. The fifth-ranked Brunson has won four straight, and a fifth win would cement his case for a shot against champion Israel Adesanya, who currently does not have a fight booked. The seventh-ranked Till came up short in a title bid at welterweight and is looking for a signature win at middleweight to put his name in the title-bout conversation.

Till is a -160 favorite (risk $160 to win $100), while Brunson is listed at +140 in the latest UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till odds at Caesars Sportsbook. In the co-main event, ranked heavyweights share the spotlight as No. 13-ranked Tom Aspinall (-250) takes on No. 14-ranked Sergey Spivak (+200). Before settling any UFC Fight Night picks of your own, make sure you see the MMA predictions from SportsLine combat sports analyst Kyle Marley.

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every professional MMA card and does extensive research before each event.

Over the past 30 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up more than $14,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has now connected on 34 of his last UFC 58 main-event selections, a stretch that includes a streak of five straight underdogs in 2020.

Just last week, Marley told SportsLine members to back Daniel Rodriguez (+130) against Kevin Lee (-150) in a matchup of welterweight contenders on the main card. Lee came out strong in the first round, but Rodriguez dominated the final two frames to win a unanimous decision. Anyone who has followed Marley is way up.

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till looming, Marley has studied the matchups from every angle and released his selections for the card. Those picks are only available here.  

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till preview

Marley knows both fighters will have a sense of urgency as they battle for a coveted title shot in a top-heavy middleweight division. Brunson (22-7) already has shared the Octagon with many of the game’s luminaries, but historically has come out on the short end against world-class competition.

His resume includes losses to former champions such as Anderson Silva and Robert Whittaker. His most recent loss came at the hands of Adesanya in 2018, but the 37-year-old has since won four straight against quality opponents to enter the title picture.

Brunson knocked out previously-unbeaten prospect Edmen Shahbazyan in August of last year and followed up that effort with a dominant five-round decision against red-hot prospect Kevin Holland in March.

Even so, he faces a daunting task against Till (18-3-1), who is unproven at middleweight but whose lethal striking and high fight IQ led him to a title shot at welterweight. The 28-year-old British fighter needs a win to remain relevant at middleweight following a lopsided decision loss to Whittaker in July of last year. His lone win in the division came in a split decision against Kelvin Gastelum in November 2019. You can only see who to back here.

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till predictions

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night selections here: He is backing Modestas Bukauskas (-155) to get past Khalil Rountree (+135) in a battle of light heavyweight prospects.

Bukauskas (11-4) came to the UFC as a celebrated prospect following a 5-1 stint in the respected Cage Warriors promotion, with four of those wins coming by stoppage. However, the Lithuanian fighter is just 1-2 in three UFC appearances against other rising prospects. He dropped a split decision to Michał Oleksiejczuk in March.

Rountree (8-5-1) is a power puncher who has shown promise at times but struggled to gain consistent traction in the UFC. The 31-year-old Los Angeles native is 4-4-1 in nine appearances since joining the promotion in 2016.

“I am going to take Bukauskas because I think he is the more well-rounded fighter, and I liked what I saw from him in his last fight.,” Marley told SportsLine.

How to make UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till picks

Marley also has strong picks for Brunson vs. Till and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night card. He’s also backing one fighter who has “some of the best boxing in the division” to get a knockout win. Those selections are only available at SportsLine.

Who wins Brunson vs. Till? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night, all from the incomparable expert who’s up more than $14,000 on MMA in the past 30 months, and find out.

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till odds, fight card

Derek Brunson (+140) vs. Darren Till (-160)

Tom Aspinall (-250) vs. Sergey Spivak (+200)

Alex Perez (-300) vs. Matt Schnell (+250)

Alex Morono (-155) vs. David Zawada (+135)

Modestas Bukauskas (-155) vs. Khalil Rountree (+135)

Paddy Pimblet (-135) vs. Luigi Vendramini (+115)

Ji Yeon Kim (-115) vs. Molly McCann (-105)

Jack Shore (-475) vs. Liudvik Sholinian (+380)

Charles Jourdain (-185) vs. Julian Erosa (+165)

Marc-Andre Barriault (-150) vs. Dalcha Lungiambula (+130)

Jonathan Martinez (-170) vs. Marcelo Rojo (+150)

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